Peak oil is going to make mechanized farming cost prohibitive. The corporate farming model cannot be sustained. Mechanized farming was developed in the American south in the 1940s as a countermeasure to the growing civil rights movement. With the development mechanization and automation, blacks usefulness as manual farm labor and sharecroppers was no longer needed. They were quickly evicted from the land, causing many to migrate to cities in the north in hopes of finding work in a number of America's manufacturing hubs such as: Chicago, Detroit, New York, and Philadelphia.
Jump ahead to 2008, many of the descendents of these migrants from the south are now trapped in America's growing permanent underclass. With the revitalization of America's cities, these areas are now becoming unaffordable for many people. By design, they have been methodically pushed out of the inner cites into the suburbs of and exburbs. In the Atlantic Monthly, Christopher B. Leinberger wrote:
"On the other hand, many inner suburbs that are on the wrong side of town, and poorly served by public transport, are already suffering what looks like inexorable decline. Low-income people, displaced from gentrifying inner cities, have moved in, and longtime residents, seeking more space and nicer neighborhoods, have moved out. But much of the future decline is likely to occur on the fringes, in towns far away from the central city, not served by rail transit, and lacking any real core. In other words, some of the worst problems are likely to be seen in some of the country’s more recently developed areas—and not only those inhabited by subprime-mortgage borrowers. Many of these areas will become magnets for poverty, crime, and social dysfunction."
Many of America's cities are refurbishing their inner cities as high tech, walkable communities, catering to retiring yuppies, and up and coming Generation Xers and Millennials. The problem with all this is that Peak Oil is going to cripple America's ability to feed itself with the corporate mechanized farming model that we've all grown to depend on.
America is now in the beginning of a Great Depression. Peak Oil and America's economic collapse are going to lower the living standards of most Americans and create a permanent underclass. In this transition, large, yet local farms will be necessary to feed America's population. How does America run large corporate style farms without diesel fuel and petrochemicals? You do it with manual labor provided by your marginalized black, white, and hispanic population. I will use blacks as an example because of our historically connection to the corporate modeled plantation farming systems.
Most of Americas poor and middle class have little or no net worth. Foreclosurse, joblessness, and inflation will increase, making it difficult if not impossible for most Americans to survive the OIL SHOCKS to come.
My prediction is this, the poor White, Hispanic, and Black population will end up in a feudal plantation system in which they trade labor for food, shelter, and security. Eventually over time, this trade off will evolve into a system of bonded serfdom where the landlord (farmer) deducts from their labor the cost of food, shelter, and security, which will keep them and future generations bound to the land as a permanent work force.
These farm owners will still have access to wi-fi infrastructure, and various modes of transporation, but their work force will be stuck in perpetual servitude comparable to slavery in the American south and the serfdom of Europe. In the midst of chaos, and with the lack of prepartion on their part, this transistion back to the plantation will probably take two generations. The common dsyfunctional pathelogies held among all three (white, hispanic, and black) racial groups fill facilitate this process:
1. No assets or wealth
2. No value placed on financial education or literacy
3. A generational continuum of dsyfunctional pathologies such as single parent households, high out-of-wedlock birthrates, and domestic violence
The need from stability, food, sheter, and security will cause many of the future suburban slum dwellers to gravitate to these defacto plantations out of a need for survival.
If you want to avoid this scenerio I would make the following suggestions:
1. Ownership of at least a 1 acre parcel of land with a water souce suitable for subsistance farming in a rural area.
2. Store at least 1 year of food.
3. Construct a shelter with an alternative energy source such as solar power.
4. Raise crops and livestock that can be bartered for necessities.
5. Be highly adaptable, and develop a curiosity for learning.
6. Learn hunting and self defense skills.
If you cannot accomplish these tasks on your own, form a coop with friends and share the financial burden. It is paramount that you do this for yourself and for future generations.
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